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Technical analysis

Looking For A Great Entry On Bitcoin?

How Bitcoiners can use time, price expectation and supply at a loss to explore great entry opportunities.

Why The Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model Is Not Useful

PlanB’s S2F/S2FX models are scientifically invalid and have fundamental issues that may lead investors astray.

COC#8: Bitcoin’s 2021 Review Using On-Chain And Price Related Data

A look back at 2021’s most important events and on-chain trends for bitcoin’s price action, as well as a brief look forward into 2022.

BTC Whale With Links To Well-Known Exchange May Have Triggered Bitcoin Price Drop

The recent drop in bitcoin’s price may come from reactions to the movement of large amounts of bitcoin.

COC#7: The Bitcoin Market Hangs Between Hope And Fear

How the Mt. Gox rehab plan and Omicron emergence act as a sword of Damocles above otherwise splendid on-chain supply dynamics.

The Bitcoin Price Is Rallying Its Way To $100K

The latest trends and indicators suggest that the price of bitcoin is on a journey to $100,000.

COC#6: “Smart Money” Is Front-Running Retail

The bitcoin futures ETF launch is fueling a contango trade that is luring Wall Street in, and retail investors are absent or distracted.

Valuing Bitcoin Based On HODLer Behavior

Introducing the Market-Value-to-Long-term-holder-Value (MVLV) and Market-Value-to-Illiquid-Value (MVIV) Bands on-chain metrics.

Market-Value-to-Realized-Value (MVRV) Bands

Modeling the bitcoin price based on the value of all coins when they last moved on-chain.

COC#5: How January’s On-Chain Footprint Bent The Bitcoin Price Trend Twice

A closer look at how the on-chain footprint of bitcoin investors changed in January and how that set a floor price for the recent market downturn.