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Technical analysis

COC#6: “Smart Money” Is Front-Running Retail

The bitcoin futures ETF launch is fueling a contango trade that is luring Wall Street in, and retail investors are absent or distracted.

Valuing Bitcoin Based On HODLer Behavior

Introducing the Market-Value-to-Long-term-holder-Value (MVLV) and Market-Value-to-Illiquid-Value (MVIV) Bands on-chain metrics.

Market-Value-to-Realized-Value (MVRV) Bands

Modeling the bitcoin price based on the value of all coins when they last moved on-chain.

COC#5: How January’s On-Chain Footprint Bent The Bitcoin Price Trend Twice

A closer look at how the on-chain footprint of bitcoin investors changed in January and how that set a floor price for the recent market downturn.

MicroStrategy And Other Whales Continue Bitcoin Accumulation

While the bitcoin price has been dipping, those with the most bitcoin continue to add to their stack.

COC#4: On-Chain Silence Before The Storm

Low on-chain activity raises questions regarding current investor demand for bitcoin, but patient investors are increasingly accumulating.

COC#3: Squeezed Supply, Shorts and Bitcoin Lemonade

This third edition of Cycling On-Chain takes a closer look at bitcoin’s ongoing supply squeeze and recent short squeeze.

Bitcoin Transfer Volume Now Exceeds $15.8 Trillion

The “total amount of coins transferred on chain,” metric is equivalent to 70% of the United States Gross Domestic Product.

Cycling On-Chain #1: Unwinding Leverage

A reflection on the first large correction of and outlook for the remainder of 2021.

Using Hash Rate To Examine Bitcoin Price Dips

The bitcoin mining industry undergoes various capitulations upon the halving of block rewards, affecting bitcoin’s price.
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