Dilution Proof
COC#8: Bitcoin’s 2021 Review Using On-Chain And Price Related Data
A look back at 2021’s most important events and on-chain trends for bitcoin’s price action, as well as a brief look forward into 2022.
COC#7: The Bitcoin Market Hangs Between Hope And Fear
How the Mt. Gox rehab plan and Omicron emergence act as a sword of Damocles above otherwise splendid on-chain supply dynamics.
COC#6: “Smart Money” Is Front-Running Retail
The bitcoin futures ETF launch is fueling a contango trade that is luring Wall Street in, and retail investors are absent or distracted.
Valuing Bitcoin Based On HODLer Behavior
Introducing the Market-Value-to-Long-term-holder-Value (MVLV) and Market-Value-to-Illiquid-Value (MVIV) Bands on-chain metrics.
Market-Value-to-Realized-Value (MVRV) Bands
Modeling the bitcoin price based on the value of all coins when they last moved on-chain.
COC#5: How January’s On-Chain Footprint Bent The Bitcoin Price Trend Twice
A closer look at how the on-chain footprint of bitcoin investors changed in January and how that set a floor price for the recent market downturn.
COC#4: On-Chain Silence Before The Storm
Low on-chain activity raises questions regarding current investor demand for bitcoin, but patient investors are increasingly accumulating.
COC#3: Squeezed Supply, Shorts and Bitcoin Lemonade
This third edition of Cycling On-Chain takes a closer look at bitcoin’s ongoing supply squeeze and recent short squeeze.
Cycling On-Chain #2: Bitcoin Enters Geopolitics
China cracks down against Bitcoin while El Salvador adopts it as legal tender; who’s making the right move?
Cycling On-Chain #1: Unwinding Leverage
A reflection on the first large correction of and outlook for the remainder of 2021.
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